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Strait of Hormuz
Trump Blinks First
The president promised to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, only to ditch that plan 48 hours later. How can we make sense of what he’s doing?
May 6, 2026
Aaron MacLean
A Peace Deal Will Allow the Iranian Regime to Survive
An Israeli official says the economic noose tightening on Tehran can force a change in government, unless a settlement is reached with America.
May 6, 2026
Amit Segal
The Fight for the Strait of Hormuz Is Under Way
After weeks of drift and wishful thinking, the United States appears to have begun the effort to reopen one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes.
May 4, 2026
Aaron MacLean
The Myth of the ‘Escalation Trap’
Robert Pape has emerged as a star commentator on the Iran war. Is his signature idea hokum?
April 28, 2026
Eli Lake
Iran Is Drowning in Its Own Oil
Without the Strait of Hormuz, the Iranian regime is running out of places to store oil, and it could have disastrous consequences.
April 28, 2026
Amit Segal
The Ayatollah’s Waiting Game
The Iranian regime can’t afford Trump’s blockade. It’s praying America blinks first.
April 23, 2026
Amit Segal
Niall Ferguson: The Gap Between Truth (Social) and Reality on Iran
The Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the economic costs of the war keep mounting. Yet markets are trading like the war is over. The wisdom of crowds…
April 20, 2026
Niall Ferguson
Trump’s Iran Blockade Is Functioning—But Will It Work?
U.S. ships are making sure that if Iran won’t let world commerce pass freely through the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian commerce can’t either. Will this…
April 15, 2026
Aaron MacLean
Iran Needs the Strait of Hormuz More Than Anyone
Trump’s announcement that the U.S. would blockade the strait could take the last card out of Tehran’s hand.
April 13, 2026
Zineb Riboua
Trump’s Madman Act Delivers in Iran
Now that Trump has postponed his threat to end Iranian civilization, America has won twice. Here’s why.
April 8, 2026
Eli Lake
After the Ceasefire
The military scenarios now that the deadline has been moved back.
April 7, 2026
Aaron MacLean
Tyler Cowen: Why Oil Price Spikes Could Spark a Global Recession
The U.S. is insulated from some oil price shocks, but not from a global downturn.
April 3, 2026
Tyler Cowen
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