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Markets Say Relax. Trump Critics Say Panic. Who’s Right?
(Illustration by The Free Press; images via Getty)
Investors are bullish, the dollar is weaker, and the national debt is mounting—the signals are more mixed than the shouting suggests.
By Tyler Cowen
09.01.25 — Tyler Cowen Must Know
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Is it possible to sum up the American economy in a few pictures and numbers? And how well is Donald Trump doing anyway? If Trump is such a terrible president, why is the stock market still up?

No matter your political stance, haven’t you wondered about questions like that? Even if you love Trump, surely you have noticed a lot of people are very nervous about him.

I would like to address those questions and present an overview of where we are at in the simplest possible terms. I expect it will jibe with the politics of relatively few politically committed people, regardless of whether they are Trump supporters.

Let’s start with the first picture, namely the S&P 500.

Investors are bullish, the dollar is weaker, and the national debt is mounting—the signals are more mixed than the shouting suggests, Tyler Cowen writes. 
S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC via Fred

As you can see, it is doing more than fine. One thing this means is that the world and American prosperity are unlikely to end anytime soon. American companies are worth a lot and the world recognizes this. As I pointed out in a recent column, the chipmaker Nvidia has recently been worth more on its own than the entire German stock market.

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Tyler Cowen
Tyler Cowen is Holbert L. Harris Professor of Economics at George Mason University and also Faculty Director of the Mercatus Center. He received his PhD in economics from Harvard University in 1987. His book The Great Stagnation: How America Ate the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better was a New York Times best-seller. He was named in an Economist poll as one of the most influential economists of the last decade and Bloomberg Businessweek dubbed him "America's Hottest Economist." Foreign Policy magazine named him as one of its "Top 100 Global Thinkers" of 2011. He co-writes a blog at www.MarginalRevolution.com, hosts a podcast Conversations with Tyler, and is co-founder of an online economics education project, MRU.org. He is also director of the philanthropic project Emergent Ventures.
Tags:
Investing
Donald Trump
Economics
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