I keep thinking: it doesn't really matter whether the are conscious or sentient or not. If they continue to develop in ways which destroy us - unconsciously, if you will - what is the difference?
Its always ten years away, every new humanity saving technology is always ten years away. Workable fusion power is ten years away, and has been since the 1970s, we've always been at war with East Eurasia.
To be fair, I remember as a child in the early 80's hearing a (I think) Ray Bradbury story that featured a scene where the dad read the news on a computer. That seemed absurdly futuristic at the time. Fifteen/twenty years later it was reality. In the mid-90s streaming internet video seemed a long way offтАФit was only 5-8 years away. I'm not dismissive of radical tech predictions any more. On the other hand, even though we have robust quadcopters, flying cars still aren't a thing... go figure.
Yes, I read this too, in the 70s. It even featured in a Star Trek book, where traveling to the past, Captain Kirk is looking at a newspaper vending machine, waiting for the headlines to change.
Yes, we will see. Kurzweil has been around a very long time and also has been very consistent. Many fellow scientists refuted his timelines for a long time but now see that he was correct and agree with him. Very interesting, and the work in his books compelling.
"A lot of what you get out of these machines is what you put in, and these machines are not anywhere close to conscious or sentient."
lol. what do you get out of these machines that you don't put in?
I keep thinking: it doesn't really matter whether the are conscious or sentient or not. If they continue to develop in ways which destroy us - unconsciously, if you will - what is the difference?
The Singularity is Near and How to Create a Mind, both by Ray Kurzweil. AI will pass the Turing test by 2030.
Usually itтАЩs 10 years away, but 7 is close. I guess weтАЩll see.
Its always ten years away, every new humanity saving technology is always ten years away. Workable fusion power is ten years away, and has been since the 1970s, we've always been at war with East Eurasia.
To be fair, I remember as a child in the early 80's hearing a (I think) Ray Bradbury story that featured a scene where the dad read the news on a computer. That seemed absurdly futuristic at the time. Fifteen/twenty years later it was reality. In the mid-90s streaming internet video seemed a long way offтАФit was only 5-8 years away. I'm not dismissive of radical tech predictions any more. On the other hand, even though we have robust quadcopters, flying cars still aren't a thing... go figure.
Yes, I read this too, in the 70s. It even featured in a Star Trek book, where traveling to the past, Captain Kirk is looking at a newspaper vending machine, waiting for the headlines to change.
Wait, we're still at war with East Eurasia?!
I suspect it's like the Club of Rome and Population Bomb. It's a sliding limit.
Yes, we will see. Kurzweil has been around a very long time and also has been very consistent. Many fellow scientists refuted his timelines for a long time but now see that he was correct and agree with him. Very interesting, and the work in his books compelling.