In the opening hours of the war with Iran, President Donald Trump described its goals as the destruction of the Islamic Republic’s missiles, its missile industry, and its navy; the end of its proxies’ abilities to destabilize the region and the world; and the guarantee that Iran would never obtain a nuclear weapon. On the question of regime change, he struck a balanced tone, saying in essence that it would be a fine outcome, but don’t grade him on it. This campaign would be for limited objectives, and would end on a timeline of his choosing.
What a difference five weeks makes. This morning, Trump warned that if Iran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz to the free flow of commerce, “a whole civilization will die tonight.” This followed his Sunday threat of large-scale bombing on Iran’s infrastructure—specifically, its power plants and bridges.
How did we get here? And what can we expect?

