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This Is a Republican Moment. Can Trump Seize It?
Donald Trump arrives to address a joint session of Congress in Washington, D.C., on March 4, 2025. (Tom Brenner/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Republicans outnumber Democrats by the biggest margin in 30 years. It’s an opportunity for Trump to recast the political landscape.
By Matthew Continetti
03.18.25 — U.S. Politics
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Welcome to Red America.

President Trump begins his second term with an advantage he lacked eight years ago: a Republican electorate. This lead in party affiliation not only propelled him to the White House last November. It also continues to buoy his job approval ratings despite voter concerns over inflation and the economy.

Republicans and Republican-leaning voters outnumber Democratic-aligned ones, 45 percent to 41 percent, according to the most recent NBC News poll. The GOP hasn’t held such an edge in more than three decades.

How did this happen? The answer lies in two trends: a gradual but steady strengthening in the GOP brand since 2018, and a dramatic plunge in Democratic affiliation since 2020.

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Matthew Continetti
Matthew Continetti is the director of domestic policy studies and the inaugural Patrick and Charlene Neal Chair in American Prosperity at the American Enterprise Institute. His most recent book is The Right: The Hundred Year War for American Conservatism (Basic Books, 2022).
Tags:
Donald Trump
Democrats
Republicans
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