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They Predicted World War III. They Were Wrong.
An Israeli woman and her daughter run into a public bomb shelter during a rocket barrage fired from Gaza on May 18, 2021. (Gili Yaari/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Tucker Carlson and his allies claimed to speak for the MAGA rank and file on Iran. But they’re at odds with the voters—and reality.
By Eli Lake
06.25.25 — U.S. Politics
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After the video of Sahar Emami, the Iranian news anchor in full chador diving for cover mid-rant as an Israeli bomb struck her studio, the most viral clip of the 12-day war was brought to you by a man who did his damnedest to prevent it: Tucker Carlson.

On his podcast, Carlson responded on air to the first reports of Iranian strikes on the U.S. airbase in Qatar. “Ugh, this is just sad on every level,” he said, placing his hand on his heart. After reading the initial report of the strike from Axios, Carlson said he was praying for America and “I hope that people who have audiences will be responsible, will remember that, like, life is short, you’re going to have to give an account.”

Leaving aside the hereafter, Carlson might consider some accounting in the here and now. In the run-up to the war, Carlson predicted nothing short of World War III if Israel or America attacked Iran. He laid that out in a June 5 X post attacking Fox News host Mark Levin after Levin met with the president. “A war with Iran would amount to a profound betrayal of [Trump’s] supporters. It would end his presidency,” Carlson assured his 16 million followers on X. “The first week of a war with Iran could easily kill thousands of Americans. It could also collapse our economy, as surging oil prices trigger unmanageable inflation. Consider the effects of $30 gasoline,” he predicted.

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Eli Lake
Eli Lake is the host of Breaking History, a new history podcast from The Free Press. A veteran journalist with expertise in foreign affairs and national security, Eli has reported for Bloomberg, The Daily Beast, and Newsweek. With Breaking History, he brings his sharp analysis and storytelling skills to uncover the connections between today’s events and pivotal moments in the past.
Tags:
Donald Trump
Iran
Israel
MAGA
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