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Wrung Out Lemon's avatar

Bottom line?

Trump is the nominee and these candidates are all vying for one of two things. They either want a job in the administration or they want to be the standard bearer for the republican establishment that is dying off.

NOTHING, not a conviction, not a great debate performance, NOTHING is gonna change that. And as counterintuitive as it may be to the elites and the media, each new indictment, each attempt by democrat prosecutors or democrat judges to hit him, just makes him stronger. They fail to understand that by going after MAGA supporters either literally with the FBI and police or figuratively by calling them racists etc, have tied him to them, they have put them in a boat with him and they sink or swim together. And, the overwhelming amount of effort that has gone into getting him with the legal system has caused a lot of marginal supporters to commit to him and it has made a lot of Americans that really really dislike the precedent of one party using the legal system to go after their opponent at least consider him as a rejection of that precedent.

You toss in the fact that the democrats have alienated a large swath of the country with woke policies. Toss in the fact that Black and Latino voters are questioning the values of the democrats and increasingly see that the democrats do next to nothing for them, and you have either more of them voting republican or staying home.

Then toss in how disliked Biden is, his age, the border, inflation that resulted from his spending (admittedly with help from the Fed) and you have a situation where Trump could very easily win next fall. If I had to put a number on it I would give Trump a 60% chance of winning next fall.

Now imagine Trump, a lame duck from day one, with nothing to constrain him. If he wins, it will break the democrats. They will have thrown everything they have at him. They will have thrown everything at him that they are convinced would have broken any other candidate many times over and yet still they lost? There will be finger pointing among the donors, the DNC, between the progressive and centrist wings. It will break the democrats and it will put a stake in the heart of the old school republicans.

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Mike's avatar

This sums up the attitude of many, many people. The political establishment has sold the country down the river, and only a person from outside the establishment can stop this. Therefore, despite many alleged flaws, there is really no alternative to Donnie.

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Wrung Out Lemon's avatar

It might just be his flaws that make it possible for him to do it.

You gotta be someone who is unafraid to smash things and be unwilling to go along. Sometimes you just need an ahole to shake things up and say the things nobody else wants to say.

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Mike's avatar

Agreed. I do not know how he succeeded to the extent that he did given the elements of the power structure aligned against him. A rabid D party, backstabbing R party (except for tax cuts), the FBU, DOJ and intelligence community, the career bureaucrats, and the corporate media.

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Rick Jones's avatar

Well said Wrung! When you say "They will have thrown everything they have at him," isn't it remarkable that despite the all-out media attacks, impeachment, legal charges, and dozens of outright lies and manipulations, they have NOT been able to come up with one decent, intelligent, under 60 year-old Candidate. Not a single one. Newsom is laughable coming from the biggest cluster on the planet - California. They are chronically ancient, conniving, filthy rich, self-absorbed, and unwilling to share power. What a mess!

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PSW's avatar

And they thought it was bad when Hillary lost....

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Mark D.'s avatar

I love this whole analysis. You articulate how I and tens of millions of others feel.

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