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Donald Trump’s Iran Trap
President Donald Trump speaks during a visit to the Fort Bragg U.S. Army base on February 13, 2026, in Fort Bragg, North Carolina. (Nathan Howard via Getty Images)
The U.S. president and Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei are on a collision course.
By Michael Doran
02.19.26 — International
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For years, Donald Trump defined himself against the architects of the Iraq War. He cast Middle Eastern interventions as moral vanity projects paid for in American blood and treasure. He promised no more regime change. No more endless wars.

Yet as nuclear talks with Iran falter, American warships mass off Iran’s shores and bombers move into range. The president who rose by denouncing George W. Bush now finds himself reviving the logic of Bush’s Middle East policy.

How did we get here? More importantly: What does this moment reveal about American power—about what truly changes, and what never does?

The answer begins with the ambiguous outcome of last June’s 12-day war. Trump and his supporters—myself included—hailed Operation Midnight Hammer, which struck Iranian nuclear facilities, as a major military success. At the same time, Israel’s Operation Rising Lion dismantled Iran’s air defenses and severely degraded its ballistic missile capabilities.

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Michael Doran
Director of the Middle East Center at the Hudson Institute and cohost of the Israel Update Podcast. Follow him on Twitter @Doranimated.
Tags:
War
Military
the middle east
Donald Trump
Foreign Policy
Iran
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