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Why Congress Won’t End the Shutdown
“Republicans and Democrats are responding to mirror-image versions of the same incentive,” writes Charles Lane. (Kevin Dietsch via Getty Images)
Members of the House and Senate in each party fear that their base will not accept compromise, even though that’s what the general public wants. As the saying goes, ‘incentives influence behavior.’
By Charles Lane
10.21.25 — U.S. Politics
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Three weeks into the government shutdown, Washington, D.C., restaurants are trying to brighten the mood—and shore up business—with gimmicks like free croissants or specialty cocktails named “Furlough-rita.” One place, Barrel, on Pennsylvania Avenue, has tried to lure in customers with an “Unhappy Hour.”

But there’s no sugarcoating it: By Wednesday, this shutdown will be the second-longest ever, beating the 21-day affair Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich triggered during the Clinton administration. And it shows every sign of exceeding the 35-day record set during the first Trump administration.


Read
The Real Problem with the Government Shutdown

The policy issues at stake are complicated. The reason it’s dragging on, however, is perfectly simple and easily summarized in that age-old nostrum: “Incentives influence behavior.”

Republicans and Democrats in Congress had strong incentives to let the shutdown happen, and both have strong incentives to keep it going.

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Charles Lane
Charles Lane is a nonresident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a columnist for The Free Press.
Tags:
Healthcare
Washington D.C.
Policy
Democrats
Republicans
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