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Tyler Cowen: Which Countries Won’t Exist in the 22nd Century?
“Some nation-states that we once took for granted might disappear altogether,” writes Tyler Cowen. (Illustration by The Free Press)
Americans have the unfortunate tendency to believe the world has stopped evolving. That’s dead wrong.
By Tyler Cowen
06.09.25 — International
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As observers of global politics, Americans have the unfortunate tendency to believe the world has stopped evolving. Unless there is an immediate war at hand, for example, we like to think that national borders have stopped changing, even though history is in many ways the story of how and why these borders are always changing.

We also treat the “nation-state” as a final organizational form, as if it represents a literal “end of history.” This is profoundly mistaken.

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Tyler Cowen
Tyler Cowen is Holbert L. Harris Professor of Economics at George Mason University and also Faculty Director of the Mercatus Center. He received his PhD in economics from Harvard University in 1987. His book The Great Stagnation: How America Ate the Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better was a New York Times best-seller. He was named in an Economist poll as one of the most influential economists of the last decade and Bloomberg Businessweek dubbed him "America's Hottest Economist." Foreign Policy magazine named him as one of its "Top 100 Global Thinkers" of 2011. He co-writes a blog at www.MarginalRevolution.com, hosts a podcast Conversations with Tyler, and is co-founder of an online economics education project, MRU.org. He is also director of the philanthropic project Emergent Ventures.
Tags:
Russia
Europe
Foreign Policy
History
China
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