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How America Broke the Iranian Regime
“The operation itself is a demonstration of what American military power can accomplish when it decides to act without hesitation,” writes Zineb Riboua. (Alex Brandon/Pool/Sipa USA)
Seven critical miscalculations have left the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reeling, while U.S. and regional forces tighten their grip.
By Zineb Riboua
04.06.26 — International
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This weekend, somewhere in the mountains of southwestern Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) was hunting an American. They were chasing the most intoxicating image: a soldier of the “Great Satan,” bloodied and captured, paraded before the cameras on the very soil his country had come to destroy, the living fulfillment of every chant of vengeance that had echoed through Iranian streets since 1979. The IRGC held all the advantages a force could ask for: home terrain, local informant networks, and within its grasp the single most valuable propaganda asset of the entire war—a prisoner whose image alone could have rewritten the narrative of a campaign that has been catastrophic for the Islamic Republic from the first strike.

But American special operations forces got there first. And when Donald Trump announced the rescue on Truth Social in three words—“WE GOT HIM!”—the IRGC walked away with nothing but the abandoned underwear of a man they never caught.

The episode revealed three things: complete American military superiority over the Islamic Republic on its own soil; the catastrophic failure of a surveillance architecture that Beijing had spent years and billions of dollars constructing; and the increasingly inescapable conclusion that the IRGC’s viability as a military institution is approaching its terminal phase.

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Zineb Riboua
Zineb Riboua is a research fellow at the Hudson Institute and founder of its China in MENA Project.
Tags:
War
Donald Trump
Iran
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