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Can the ‘Donroe Doctrine’ Make South America Better Off?
The capture of Nicolás Maduro marks a significant change in the U.S. posture toward Latin America. America is no longer ignoring the region—and seems eager to exert its influence. (via Getty Images)
Building up South America is worth more than plundering it.
By Kenneth Rogoff
01.08.26 — International
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After decades of ignoring South America, under President Donald Trump the United States has turned its attention toward it with a vengeance. Trump had already shown a greater interest in the continent with a $20 billion lifeline to Argentina’s pro-market president Javier Milei, and tried to punish Brazil with tariffs for prosecuting its former president, Jair Bolsonaro. Venezuela is obviously a major escalation. Given the continent’s vast natural resources, its 440 million people living close to the U.S., and the growing influence of China, Americans have a great stake in how Trump’s Latin gambit plays out.

South Americans long complained that the United States did not pay enough attention to the region. And in fact it has not, perhaps because economically South America has been consistently disappointing. While China has grown to the second largest economy in the world, and India today is the fastest-growing major economy, South America essentially stopped catching up to the United States in per capita income four decades ago, after its disastrous 1980s debt crisis.

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Kenneth Rogoff
Kenneth Rogoff is Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University, and former chief economist at the IMF. His latest book is Our Dollar, Your Problem.
Tags:
Venezuela
South America
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